Related questions
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny ≥100 countries)
24% chance
Will the US or California require licenses to train large AI models before 2026?
24% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny all non-US, allow US or int'l licensing)
31% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny some entities)
82% chance
Will the US government enact legislation before 2026 that substantially slows US AI progress?
27% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny all, secret or no new licenses)
19% chance
[Metaculus] Will the US restrict Chinese AI developers' access to US cloud compute before 2025?
45% chance
Will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
14% chance
Will the US government commit to legal restrictions on large AI training runs by January 1st, 2025?
5% chance
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny ≤99 countries)
76% chance