New Jersey Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2025?
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Plus
105
Ṁ93k
Nov 5
91%
Democratic Party
9%
Republican Party
0%
Other
  • This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.

  • In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.

  • If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.

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sold Ṁ150 Republican Party YES

https://bsky.app/profile/gelliottmorris.com/post/3m4nwuzrlz52d

polymarket prices this at 18%, and polling is much closer than i expected (sherrill +3, with a 2021 level of polling error ciattarelli would win by 2), but early vote looks decent for dems based on this thread. 10% seems about right to me

opened a Ṁ5,000 Democratic Party YES at 80% order

5k limit yes order at 80 for Dems.