
If someone dies because of a Letzte Generation protest before 2025, will it be an activist?
Plus
10
Ṁ186resolved Dec 31
Resolved
N/A1D
1W
1M
ALL
If the following market resolves NO, this market will resolve N/A:
Otherwise, this will resolve YES if the first such person to die will themselves have been a participant in the protest. If it was someone else, then this will resolve NO. Like in the linked market, I will only count deaths that are recognized by German-language media consensus as plausibly the direct consequence of a protest. I will not bet here myself.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
Seems that thankfully no-one has died so this resolves N/A. But this would need @mods . Thank you and happy new year :)
Related questions
Related questions
Will the climate change activists "Last Generation" ("Letzte Generation") be classified as a criminal organization?
48% chance
Will 20+ people die in anti-Trump protests in 2025?
20% chance
Will a U.S. military service member kill a U.S. citizen protester before 2026?
25% chance
Will an eco-terrorism act causing a significant loss of life (10+) occur before 2035?
57% chance
Will organizers and leaders of protests against Donald Trump in the summer of 2025 be arrested and face federal changes?
70% chance
Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?
29% chance
Will non violent climate activism be prosecuted as terrorism by 2026?
30% chance
Will a protest attracting 100,000 participants against AGI development occur before 2030?
19% chance
Will a protest attracting 10,000 participants against AGI development occur before 2030?
69% chance