Which f2 driver(s) will get promoted to f1?
Market info:
This question will resolve to all drivers who get promoted, or "None of them" if f1 pulls a dumb move again.
This question will resolve fully at the 3nd of the 2025 f1 season, and resolve for individual drivers whenever it is confirmed they will drive in 2025.
Just to clarify the details regarding the situation with Franco: this market will resolve yes to any driver who has raced in a formula 2 race in 2024 and will race in an f1 race in 2025 (has signed a contract to do so is enough for this, even if the contract is at some point terminated).
F2 rookies in 2025 who also race in F1 2025 (somehow) will not be considered in this market
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Nvm - still not used to what year it is
Given that Colapinto has only seemingly signed for the rest of 2024, I will not resolve this yes until it is confirmed that he has a contract with a team for 2025.
f2 standings (before melbourne):
I think this is accurate, pls lmk if I'm wrong. People with sponsors and people higher up are more likely to promote, as well as f1 teams that will change drivers next year.
f1 info:
Guaranteed Mercedes is losing their main driver Lewis Hamilton (he's going to Ferrari), so the question is will Mercedes take one of their juniors in f2 or (more likely) will they steal Fernando Alonso from Aston Martin, leaving Aston Martin with an empty seat. Alternatively, they might instead take Verstappen from Red Bull (he is dominating, but Red Bull team drama -> he might leave), leaving the big team with an empty seat. (I'm not sure if they would in that scenario promote one of their reserve drivers from Racing Bulls (Visa RB), because ngl Tsunoda is bad (they should drop him) and Riccardo is vetteran-y). There is a different market on this: https://manifold.markets/SimonGrayson/who-will-replace-lewis-hamilton-at
Any/All of Alpine, HAAS, and Sauber (yes ik the name change but I refuse to call it "Stake") might try out a new driver because they all absolutely suck right now, and hopefully Williams will replace Sergeant because he sucks (performing noticeably worse than Albon, why is he still there?), though I think they will either keep Albon or he will switch teams to a modern big name like Red Bull or maybe even Mercedes. As for McLaren, Lando might stay, might move to Mercedes or Red Bull, I'm not sure. Piastri probably will stay with McLaren.
pls lmk if I missed/forgot anything leading up to Melbourne, or if anything is inaccurate here.