@BrendanTroadec is there some awful news I should know about?

@AlexanderTheGreater Nothing but the osint

A similar question which resolves true in case of both ground invasion and rocket launches and resolves one year later has a lower probability now

The community prediction on Metaculus for a related question ("Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?") is currently 4% (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/8786/russian-annexation-in-the-baltics-before-2035/).

@Liedholm and that market closes six years after this one!

Added 7k liquidity. Very important market!