This question excludes cryonics.
Disclaimers:
This question is part of Foresight’s 2023 Vision Weekends to help spark discussion amongst participants, so the phrasing and resolution criteria may be vaguer than I would normally like for this site. Apologies for that. We thought it would still be useful to make the market public to potentially inform other discussions.
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@Nikola Not entirely correct, it is P(AGI is possible for humanity to create) Û P(survive AGI) Û P(AGI doesn't somehow prevent research even if it keeps humans alive) Û P(Aging cured within given timeframe)
Now I happen to believe that aging will be sufficiently cured to allow L.E.V. with high certainty this century,
assuming that AGI does not happen,
AND
that Aligned AGI will cause aging to be cured much faster
but you must account for all of these additional assumptions baked into your presumed outcomes.