Will the democratic party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
127
Ṁ47k2026
56%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolve Yes if the democratic party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election
Resolve No otherwise
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This is quite different than PredictIt’s value of 57:
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6867/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election
And Metaculus’ value of 52:
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6478/democratic-president-wins-2024-election/
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