Will there be more than 30 New Volcano Eruptions in 2024?
Mini
6
Ṁ119Jan 1
82%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolve according to data reported in Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program's website
https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?question=eruptionsbyyear
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
bought Ṁ100 YES
I used TimeGPT to extend the time series.
There are two options, seeing the series as Year End and Year Start.
This is the result for both:
Year TimeGPT
0 2023-12-31 30.453636
1 2024-12-31 30.182049
Year TimeGPT
0 2024-01-01 30.453636
1 2025-01-01 30.182049
This is more than 30, so I'll try that (and will probably lose).
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be more than 30 New Volcano Eruptions in 2025?
64% chance
Will there be more than 30 New Volcano Eruptions in 2026?
72% chance
Will there be more than 70 Active Volcanoes at the end of 2026?
61% chance
Will there be more than 70 Active Volcanoes at the end of 2024?
82% chance
Will there be more than 70 Active Volcanoes at the end of 2025?
63% chance
Will there be a volcano eruption with VEI >= 4 by the end of 2026?
22% chance
Will there be a large volcanic explosion before 2027?
55% chance
Will there be a volcanic eruption of Volcanic Explosivity Index 5 or greater before 2035?
47% chance
Will there be enough volcanic or seismic activity at Campi Flegrei in 2024 to lead to an evacuation?
37% chance
Will there be a volcanic eruption of Volcanic Explosivity Index 6 or greater before 2050?
34% chance