In what year will humanity establish a lasting presence on the Moon? | Manifold

In what year will humanity establish a lasting presence on the Moon?

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Resolves in the year N to the year N-1 if, in the year preceding the resolution, at least ten people were on the moon at all times. Does not have to be the same set of people; being in orbit does not count as being on the moon, but being in suborbital flight does.

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