Will Russia be at least partly free by end of 2025?
Mini
10
Ṁ355Jan 1
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to Freedom House's Freedom in the World survey. If the report stops being published, I reserve the right to use an alternative freedom index. Since the report covering 2022 was published on March 9, 2023, I will consider reports published up to 3 months into 2026.
See also:
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Belarus be at least partly free by end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Kazakhstan be at least partly free by end of 2025?
7% chance
Will the Russia/Ukrainian war end before the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will Turkey be at least partly free by end of 2025?
10% chance
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Russia become more authoritarian in 2025?
75% chance
Will Russia break up through 2025
1% chance
Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Russia completely annex Ukraine by end of 2025?
3% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2025?
96% chance