Will Donald Trump remain de facto leader of the United States beyond the end of his second term?
Plus
33
αΉ36932029
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Lots of possible edge cases here so this is going to be a judgement call to some extent. But here are some examples which may clarify the intent:
Resolves yes if:
There is a constitutional amendment allowing Trump to have a third term as President
Trump dissolves the office of President and functionally becomes dictator-for-life
Someone else is elected President on a platform of "doing exactly what Trump says" and effectively becomes a figurehead for Trump.
Resolves no if:
Trump peacefully transfers power to another presidential candidate who acts independently from him
Trump attempts to remain in office but his authority is not recognized by other branches of government
A substantial portion of the United States secedes
Get αΉ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Does Donald Trump's second term mark the beginning of an imperial period for the United States?
POLL
Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
43% chance
What will Trump do during his second term (2025β2029)?
Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
33% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, he finish his second term?
78% chance
Will Donald Trump serve a full term?
76% chance
Will Donald Trump resign as US President during his second term?
23% chance
Will Donald Trump still be relevant in US politics by 2028?
88% chance
If Trump becomes the next US president, will he make a serious attempt to remain in charge after 4 years are up?
34% chance
What will happen during Trump's second term?