Outcome of the 2026 US Midterm election
Mini
42
Ṁ14k2027
1D
1W
1M
ALL
19%
Democrats control Congress
46%
Democrats control House, Republicans control Senate
1.3%
Republicans control House, Democrats control Senate
34%
Republicans control Congress
Update 2025-07-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution will be based on the Wikipedia page for the United States Congress: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress.
Independents will be counted based on which party they caucus with.
A tie in the Senate will be resolved by the Vice President's party.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
@EvanDaniel I will resolve according to this Wikipedia page, once the results are finalized:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress
The two independent senators caucus with the Democrats and that's how they're counted, so I assume the same would apply for the House.
Yes, a senate tie resolves according to the Vice President's party.
Related questions
Related questions
What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?
Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?
Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
34% chance
Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?
18% chance
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
66% chance
Outcome of the 2028 Presidential Election
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
21% chance
Republicans have House majority after 2026 midterms?
35% chance
Democrats gain Senate seats in 2026 midterm elections?
79% chance