How many electoral college votes will the Democratic Party nominee get in 2024? (Cumulative Market)
31
Ṁ3952
Dec 26
78%
>=227
75%
>=236
70%
>=250
64%
>=261
56%
>=269
52%
>=270
47%
>=278
38%
>=288
35%
>=306
12%
>=350
4%
>=420

Answers must be of the form ">=N" where N is an integer, otherwise I will resolve the answer N/A.

Answers will be resolved based on the actual electoral college votes, not based on who electors are pledged to.

If the democratic party renames themselves or merges with another party, the successor party's nominee will count for this market.

If the electoral college is abolished or the election is cancelled or otherwise doesn't happen, all answers resolve N/A.

I reccomend sorting answers by High % or Low %.

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How is >= 270 at 45%. (At the time of this comment) but: