Will Joe Biden suffer a stroke while in office?
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resolved Jan 30
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NO

Resolves YES if Joe Biden suffers a stroke during the remainder of his first term in office. Resolves NO if not.

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@mods no evidence of this, resolving NO, @traders ping me if you think there is any evidence of this

3% base rate, discounted by everything being covered up by the media ~1%

Closer to 1.5%/yr (pre-vax)

One of the main side effects of Paxlovid, taken by the president when he tested positive for covid, is increased risk for heart attack or stroke. Risk is even greater for Biden because his doctor suspended use of his typical heart meds because of risks related to Covid. So over the last month Biden's risks for blood clots, heart attack and stroke all spiked.

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