In December 2024, OpenAI announced that o3 achieved a score of 2727 on codeforces.com. What will be the best score achieved by an AI model at the end of 2025?
This will resolve to reliable sources (ie sources that seem to not be lying) even if it's an announcement where the model that achieved this score is not publicly available.
Update 2025-06-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that "score" refers to the overall rating on codeforces.com, not a score from a single contest.
@ChinmayTheMathGuy humans have been 4000+ several times by now, but the top ratings on codeforces are extremely volatile; if you're the top rated coder you have to win every contest to avoid bleeding massive amounts of rating
@Bayesian thanks ! Somehow I seriously doubt that an ai will get 4000+ Thats the equivalent of ai beating humans almost completely in competitive programming.
@ZandaZhu I also doubt it tbh but not 25%, ig higher. openai was eyeing #1 at competitive programming by EOY, a bit after the o3 release
@TimothyJohnson5c16 I agree, I think ai will not surpass humans at competitive programming as early as 2025, if this really happens us humans are closer to being doomed than we might think.
Also this question should at least be somewhat constrained by compute. The o3 rating was done by ranking 1062 prompts and also with 10 passes.
So yes with infinite compute I don't doubt it can achieve 4k but that's not the point of the question imo. If you took 1000 humans they could also achieve 5000+ rating.
@Bayesian The top 100 for sure. Getting high ratin in codeforces is only about consistently beating everyone.
@patrik Sorry i typoed i meant to write 1000 humans. And yeah i thought u were selecting at random 1000 humans. I agree