September Federal Funding Deadline Props (Add answers)
5
Ṁ1018
resolved Oct 5
Resolved
YES
At least one republican senator votes no
Resolved
YES
At least one republican representative votes no
Resolved
NO
Deal reached before 9am eastern on 10/1
Resolved
NO
Continuing Resolution passed extending funding less than the rest of 2025
Resolved
NO
>= 12 hour senate speech
Resolved
NO
Debt ceiling raised
Resolved
NO
Debt ceiling abolished
Resolved
NO
Elon Musk tweets in opposition to the bill
Resolved
NO
Debt ceiling suspended

The last continuing resolution will expire on 9/30.

Congress generally needs to pass a funding bill before then to avoid a federal government shutdown.

Logistics:

Answers default to "no". A thing needs positive evidence it happened to resolve yes.

Acts and questions should be related to broad government funding deadlines. For example, a 12 speech about a standalone controversial bill doesn't count.

I'll accept reliable media reporting based on my own judgement. I might leave questions unresolved for up to a few weeks if there's conflicting reporting and it seems like more might come out later.

I'll defer to answer authors for resolutions if it's not obvious to me.

I will trade in this market.

  • Update 2025-09-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Debt limit suspension is treated as distinct from a raise or abolish; answers claiming a raise or abolish will resolve NO if the limit is instead suspended.

  • Update 2025-09-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Debt limit suspension is a separate outcome from a raise or abolish.

    • If the limit is suspended (not raised/abolished), answers asserting a raise or abolish resolve NO.

    • A distinct answer for suspension will be added and would resolve YES if a suspension occurs.

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Elon Musk tweets in opposition to the bill

@BenM I did not see any Elon tweets on the subject but will leave unresolved in case anyone wants to nominate one

opened a Ṁ50 Debt ceiling suspended NO at 6% order

If the debt limit is suspended instead of being raised, how does that resolve?

@MRME has that happened before? My inclination is that it's a third thing separate from raise or abolish and therefore both resolve false

@MRME if that's the mechanism that usually happens when people talking about raising it I'd probably have to reconsider

@BenM

https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-hutchins-center-explains-the-debt-limit/

They both accomplish the same goal but via different means.

@MRME Cool, i'll make a third option