JD Vance Path to the Presidency 2028
Mini
18
แน11812029
1D
1W
1M
ALL
4%
Ascends from VP term // Is Nominated // Wins
5%
Ascends from VP term // Is Nominated // Loses
0.4%
Ascends from VP term // Is Not Nominated // Wins Anyway
3%
Ascends from VP term // Is Not Nominated // Loses
19%
Does Not Ascend from VP term // Is Nominated // Wins
22%
Does Not Ascend from VP term // Is Nominated // Loses
1.7%
Does Not Ascend from VP term // Is Not Nominated // Wins Anyway
46%
Does Not Ascend from VP term // Is Not Nominated // Loses
This market is a combinatorial market on several outcomes related to JD Vance's potential to become president in or before 2029. It asks 3 questions:
Will Vance become president during the term to which he was elected as vice president in 2024?
Resolves according to this market.
Will he be a Major Party nominee?
Resolves according to whether this market resolves (50%) to JD Vance
Will he win the general election?
Resolves according to whether this market resolves to JD Vance
/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj
Get แน1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
When, if at all, will JD Vance become president?
JD Vance endorses Ohio gubernatorial candidate before July 1, 2026?
41% chance
Will JD Vance take over the presidency from Donald Trump before the 2028 election?
12% chance
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25% chance
JD Vance wins 2028 Republican nomination?
46% chance
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will JD Vance become President of the US before November 1, 2028?
11% chance
Will JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?
51% chance
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Presidential Election of the United States?
25% chance
Will JD Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for President?