Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Luis Roberto Barroso announced his retirement on October 10, 2025, creating a vacancy for President Lula to fill.

The nomination process requires the President to submit a name to the Senate for approval by absolute majority vote.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if the Brazilian Senate confirms President Lula’s nominee for the Supreme Federal Court (STF) by November 30, 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to NO. Resolution will be based on official Senate records or official Supreme Court announcements