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bruh with losses this bad they'll kick me out of the bronze league sad

https://www.instagram.com/p/C_wtAOKOW1z/?hl=en

Resolves YES

@BRTD as I said, the most obvious endorsement ever

Taylor Swift already endorsed Biden in 2020. Her views on Trump have not changed, the demographics of her fans has not changed. Celebrities dislike surprises. It would be highly surprising to snub the possible first female POTUS (also the first black female, first mixed race and Asian) after supporting Biden who was a 78 year old white male. And, just look at this article from 2020. It's the most obvious thing ever.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/taylor-swift-endorses-joe-biden-president-n1242483

"So apt that it’s come out on the night of the VP debate," Swift said to her more than 87 million followers. "Gonna be watching and supporting @KamalaHarris by yelling at the tv a lot."

@PlainBG The difference is that in 2020, as far as I can remember, she hadn't recently been the target of terrorist violence. That, in combination with the recent attack on Trump, leads me to believe she will prioritize her own safety and the safety of her fans and stay silent on this.

@PlainBG youll never understand taylor swift like i understand taylor swift just listen to midnight (taylor's version) 100 times and you'll understand that she's going to be a-political this election cycle

Taylor Swift will post a message about unity and when trump loses she will swoop in and suck up all the adrift maga children into her personality cult

Plot twist is happening!!!

Sometimes I am getting a rustle in the jimmies thinking about it!

Replacing Biden with Harris has made a difference in the eyes of Manifold's predictors - the market is now predicting a 59% chance that Swift will endorse a candidate by the end of this month:

When will Taylor Swift endorse a candidate for the 2024 Presidential election?

Can you lay out specifics as to what counts as an endorsement? Use 2020 or other elections as an example.

Everyone is so focusing on debate fallout is missing most important story:

For arbitrage possibilities with other similar markets where Joe Biden is named:

If she endorses a candidate, when will she do it?

Related market: "Will Taylor Swift endorse Joe Biden for president before a new movie grosses >$1 billion at the global box office?"

This market might depend on whether the war in Gaza ends before the election.

Would an anti-endorsement count? Would saying "don't vote for this person" resolve YES?

@Quroe I would treat that as an endorsement in a first-past-the-post system. If the US switches to a parliamentary system in the next ten months, I will resolve to N/A.

she's done it before

@shankypanky Do cookies count?

If Taylor says “go vote” this won’t resolve, right? She must endorse a singular candidate on the ballot

@mattyb Correct.