Will Joe Biden win 2,024 elections?
โž•
Plus
16
แน€6907
2029
5%
chance

Not to be confused with "Will Joe Biden win the 2024 election?", I mean the number 2,024.

This market resolves YES if Joe Biden, over his lifetime, wins 2,024 elections. Winning an election means winning any sort of vote that entitles you to a position (not merely opinion polls), including but not limited to: presidential elections, House elections, Senate elections, speakership elections, state elections (legislative and executive), judicial elections, local elections, sheriff elections, board elections, tribal elections, rigged or fraudulent elections (openly and non-openly), non-US elections, student elections and papal elections.

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bought แน€100 NO

surely resolves NO or NA @Gen

@strutheo Probably when he dies

Each elector is one election

@AaronKreider Still has a way's to go, but including all the primaries that he has won, the electors (as VP and P)... it's closer than you'd think.

Betting YES, just in case. You never know...

I just ran 114,000 non-US, openly rigged, fraudulent elections for Jimโ€™s Current/Former President of the Microsecond. Biden won 2511 of the elections.

@JimHays the resolution criteria specify the elections need to entitle Biden to some sort of actual position or role, like being a president, senator, congressman and so on, not merely bestowing a title

What is the position of a beauty pageant winner, and how is it different from merely bestowing a title?

@JimHays Yeah, you've got me there, that's a good point. I've removed that example from the description, if you've lost any mana from trading under the misleading impression it caused, let me know and I'll refund you

I sold without losing mana

Will you extend the closing date if Biden is alive in 2029, or does it need to happen before then?

@JimHays yes, I'll extend the closing date