Will the limitation of post-PhD temporary position duration in (public) scientific research to 4 years in the general case, plus 2 years of possible extension in extenuating circumstances (pregnancy, disability), often referred as the "4+2 limitation" in the context of the WissZeitVG, become law? For reference, a limitation to 6 years is already in place, which is independant of possible extenuating circumstances.
Resolves Yes if the limitation is passed, such that it is substantially a 4 year limit for most researcher after their PhD, even if the "+2" part is watered down (E. g. pregnancy/childcare during the 4 yields more than 2 years of extension). Resolves No if no such limit on temporary position duration is passed by Oct. 1st 2024, or if the duration is substantially changes (at least 1 year deviation from the 4 year general period scheme), whether higher or lower.
If it becomes law in a modified form, there might be ambiguity in resolution. I will in that case discuss in the comment, and reserve the right to resolve N/A.
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@mods Seems like it became law on March 27, 2024, which resolves this market as YES. The market creator seems inactive.
@GazDownright this is imo not correct as can be verified by checking the date when the wisszeitvg was last changed. As it was last changed in 2020 no change in the law happend since October 2023 and the question thus resolves no. https://www.gesetze-im-internet.de/wisszeitvg/BJNR050610007.html
@VincentVega the relevant bill is still debated in parliament https://dip.bundestag.de/vorgang/gesetz-zur-%C3%A4nderung-des-befristungsrechts-f%C3%BCr-die-wissenschaft/310588
@VincentVega https://www.bmbf.de/bmbf/shareddocs/faq/wisszeitvg-reform.html?t
According to the BDBF:
Das Bundeskabinett hat am 27. März 2024 die Reform des Wissenschaftszeitvertragsgesetzes (WissZeitVG) beschlossen.
english
On 27 March 2024, the Federal Cabinet decided to reform the Scientific Fixed-Term Employment Act (WissZeitVG).
@GazDownright This is a misunderstanding: the Bundeskabinett is the German government not the German parliament. On 24 March 2024 the government introduced the bill to parliament. But parliament has neither debated not decided upon the bill.
@GazDownright use Google translate for the link to the Bundestag. It is the relevant bill and it has not been debated or decided upon in parliament
@CamillePerrin I think this market can be resolved to "no" as neither the Bundestag nor the Bundestag are sitting again before the end of September 2024. Do you agree?
@gigab0nus Edited to make it clearer.
First, this is all after the PhD (postdoctoral phase) . There is already a 6 year statutory limit - the 4+2 model would be a four year limit in the general case, plus 2 years (possibly renewable) if there are extenuating circumstances (pregnancy, disability). It would resolves Yes if the duration limit for most people goes from 6 to 4 - regardless of the "+2" carve outs, unless somehow they apply to basically everybody.