Will the blockade on Gaza end before 2026?
Will the blockade on Gaza end before 2026?
Mini
11
Ṁ879
2026
9%
chance

Following the Hamas coup in 2007, Israel and Egypt began blockading the Gaza strip, placing restrictions on trade and travel. These restrictions have varied heavily over the years. More information can be found below:

This resolves yes, if the blockade by Israel or Egypt is lifted (for at least three months) before 2026. If the blockade ends at the end of 2025, I will wait 3 months before resolving the market.

The blockade is considered as lifted based on designation by reliable media. It will also resolve yes if I determine that either Egypt or Israel allow (for at least 3 months) for all goods and people to travel through their border without significant restrictions.

️ Politics🇮🇱 IsraelGeopolitics🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas ConflictGaza🇵🇸 PalestineLeaders
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