If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?
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23
αΉ€2325
2029
66%
Michelle Obama
65%
Josh Shapiro
64%
Raphael Warnock
62%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
59%
Pete Buttigieg
55%
Cory Booker
54%
Mark Cuban
48%
Tim Walz
48%
Gretchen Whitmer
46%
Jon Stewart
46%
Andrew Yang
45%
Beto O'Rourke
43%
Gavin Newsom
42%
Dwayne Johnson
34%
Stephen A. Smith
33%
Chuck Schumer
33%
Hakeem Jeffries
31%
Stacey Abrams
25%
Kamala Harris
22%
Sam Altman

Once a nominee is chosen at the Democratic convention, all non-nominees will resolve N/A, leaving only the nominee.

Then this market will convert to "Will NOMINEE win the 2028 presidential election?"

I reserve the right to remove or modify duplicates or joke answers.

Base rate:

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US Politics️ PoliticsDemocratic Party2028 US Presidential Election
Get αΉ€1,000 play money
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