Cuomo vote share (including inactive/exhausted ballots) in final round of RCV
16
Ṁ6158
7 hours ago
99.0%
>40%
99.0%
>41%
0.3%
>42%
0.9%
>43%
1.1%
>44%
1.0%
>45%
1.0%
>46%
1.0%
>47%
1.0%
>48%
1.0%
>49%
1.0%
>50%

Inactive/Exhausted ballots are ones that were counted in the first round but not the last since they did not rank the finalists.

e.g. in 2021 Eric Adams had 404,513 out of 942,031 ballots which is 42.94%

https://www.reddit.com/r/nyc/comments/1l8sbpq/rankedchoice_voting_exhausted_ballots/

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@ChinmayTheMathGuy 428530 / 1026783 = 41.74%

@jonathan

Don’t think I can resolve yet since there are more votes to count

bought Ṁ5 >41% NO

Not including exhausted ballots polymarket has him getting about 40%

https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-mayoral-dem-primary-mamdani-mov?tid=1750831663951

@Kfredric

combined with this market

https://polymarket.com/event/of-exhausted-ballots-in-nyc-mayor-dem-primary

He's expected around 44*94%. So I'm guessing between 41% and 42%

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