Will transformers still be the dominant DL architecture in 2026? | Manifold

Will transformers still be the dominant DL architecture in 2026?

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Ṁ1035

2026

58%

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Resolves true if I judge, based on the common opinion among deep learning researchers, that transformers remain the most popular architecture in deep learning research at the start of 2026. If the answer is not clear, resolves true if at least 50% of arXiv papers from 2025 on A.I. mention transformers, otherwise resolves false.

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Apparently there is already a very similar market!

https://manifold.markets/LeoGao/will-transformer-based-architecture

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