Longevity Expert Death Pool: which longevity expert will die the youngest?
Mini
10
แน€756
2074
10%
Peter Attia
8%
Michael Greger
30%
Andrew Huberman
9%
Bryan Johnson
6%
Crissman Loomis
8%
Michael Lustgarten
6%
Rhonda Patrick
19%
David Sinclair
4%
Other

Many longevity experts happily advise how to live forever. Will they? I've picked eight longevity experts (including myself). Which one of them will die at the youngest age?

Current ages:

Background:

As part of my longevity research on unaging.com, I've been reviewing other researchers' longevity recommendations and rating them for expected life impact. I'm interested in the wisdom of crowds on who is the most wrong and thus likely to die the youngest. Earning mana from my research would be a bonus. ๐Ÿ’ฐ

Details:

  • Younger age is determinate, not first to die. Age at the time of death decides who died the youngest, even if an older person dies before them.

  • No foul play. If murdered, that person is no longer valid.

  • If all experts live past 3/23/2074, then question resolves to Other.

Get แน€1,000 play money
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How is the market supposed to resolve if you die? (As in, who will click the "Crissman has died" button?)

@JuliusSimonelli Will be up to the mods to update!

@LuisCostigan Rhonda is a bold choice, given she's the only female on the list, and women naturally live longer. Reasoning?

sold แน€3 Rhonda Patrick YES

@CrissmanLoomis I remember thinking exactly that, and must have misclicked.

@diadematus I hadn't come across him before. Good stuff. Anyway, he's about 10 years younger than the rest of the pool, so I'd rather leave him off this one anyway since he would delay the confirmation of the youngest death by ten years or so.

Andrew Huberman

Great question. One note: He's better known as Andrew Huberman.

@kenmichaels Right! Corrected. Thanks.

bought แน€15 Andrew Huberman NO

@CrissmanLoomis Not corrected on my side fwiw

@LuisCostigan Fixed. It took me a while to realize you were talking about the list, not the birthdays screen shot.