When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)
17
Ṁ1086
2025
32%
Other
14%
Jul - Dec 2025
36%
Jan - Jun 2025
17%
Jul - Dec 2024
1.4%
Jan - Jun 2024

Other is the "2026 or later" option. If it gets to more than 50% I'll add an answer.

I will resolve based on the (de facto) end date in this Wikipedia page:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israel%E2%80%93Hamas_war

Details:

I will update the link in the event of change in name or split of the article.

This is only about the war between Israel and hamas. If a war between Israel and Lebanon (or another power) breaks out, that will not affect this market.

I will wait until the end date has been the same for a full 7 day period (or longer if I judge that there are still edit wars)

If there was an escalation that bought in new countries (enough that there's a new name for the conflict), I'll choose the Wikipedia page that is closest to talking about only the Gaza part of the war.

I will likely edit the description in response to good suggestions.

I will not bet in this market.

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reposted

15% Arb with the old version of this market.

Older version: