Ok, tricky moment to judge -- Kalshi did offer US election markets briefly, before a court appeal kicked in. Opinions on how (if any way) I should resolve this?

@DannyOBrien A few other questions resolved YES when they launched the house and senate control markets. Feels weird that this is back in limbo. Honestly not sure

@Yiddishe_Kupp1980 I'm going to hold for now on the basis that those markets were either legal or not, and we won't know until this has been resolved in the courts (it helps that they have until 2030 to work it out!)

What's the logic here? 75% chance Rs win one of the next two elections and 80% chance of legalizing within 2 years if they do?

They can currently do so by creating a Manifold market. Resolve yes.

@MaybeNotDepends I meant as part of their real money current service. Corrections to the description happily taken!