Related questions
Valid argument for high p(doom) in @EliezerYudkowsky's upcoming book "If Anyone Builds, Everyone Dies"?
7% chance
What is your P(doom) right now? (used to resolve end of 2025 question)
POLL
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 50% at any point before 2040?
25% chance
Eliezer Yudkowsky Stock
72% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 97% at any point before 2028?
13% chance
Will Eliezer's AI doom market have a higher P(doom) in the third quarter of 2026 than today's (2023-09-27) 21%?
12% chance
Will my p(doom) be above 10% in 20 years (2043)?
36% chance
Will my p(doom) be above 10% in 10 years (2033)?
58% chance
Will davidad meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3%?
6% chance
What's the p(doom) of monkeys?
13% chance