Will Twitch.tv implement a 100 hour storage limit on 19 May 2025?
7
แน€885
May 21
75%
chance

Twitch.tv is an online streaming platform. On 19 February 2025, they announced an upcoming change -- some videos would be removed on 19 April 2025.

The announcement was later updated with an extended deadline of 19 May 2025, here are some select highlights:

  • Starting May 19, 2025, all Highlights and Uploads, whether published or unpublished, will count towards a single 100-hour storage limit. The storage limit applies to all Highlights and Uploads on your channel, regardless of when they were created.

  • Channels still over the storage limit after May 19, 2025 will risk having their Highlights and Uploads automatically deleted, starting with Highlights with the least views, until they are under the limit. Download or export Highlights and Uploads you want to save before deleting them.

  • We will only delete content once, starting May 19, until we bring all channels under the 100-hour limit for Highlights and Uploads. Once all channels have been brought under the 100-hour limit, no users will be able to exceed 100 hours of Highlights and Uploads moving forward. Deletion will only happen once.

In order for this market to resolve Yes:

  • Twitch must begin enforcing this limit on 19 May 2025. There must be at least some evidence presented before 21 May 2025 that they began enforcing the limit WITH DELETIONS. (Someone has to report their content was deleted with reasonable evidence.)

  • The limit must still be "100 hours".

  • This document does not outline any "special exceptions" for certain classes of users. If someone can demonstrate that there was already (as of 20 February 2025) a special exception class of user, then it's okay if those exceptions remain in effect.

The market will resolve No in cases like this:

  • The deadline is officially changed to a date other than 19 May 2025.

  • The deadline remains 19 May 2025 but no evidence of deletion can be found anywhere

  • The limit amount is changed to a number other than 100 hours (larger or smaller)

  • Exceptions are added to the policy for certain classes of users to have more than 100 hours

Basically: If the policy is rolled out exactly as published on 15 April 2025, it should resolve Yes. If there are changes such that a user on 15 April 2025 who thought their limit would be exactly 100 hours on 19 May 2025, does not find themselves in that situation on 19 May 2025, it would resolve No.

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Note that it is very important to me that I see plausible evidence in the comment section of videos actually being deleted. And they have to be deleted on or very close to the specified day. Keep that in mind when trading.

I still bought some shares because I expect someone out there will have over 100 hours of content and report it being deleted. I don't care if they have a cap on going over 100 hours. That is already implemented. I really want to know if they are actually going to delete things or if it was all just an act and they will chicken out at the last minute.

@Eliza also, I literally do not understand twitch.tv....