Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

Will Donald Trump win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win a Turing Award before 2038?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky run for President of the United States by 2060?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win any of these awards or prizes before 2040?

If Eliezer Yudkowsky wins the Nobel Peace Prize, what will it be for?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be found to have committed fraud before 2030?