Caroline Ellison - How many years in her sentence?
Mini
13
Ṁ2006
2025
12%
4y to <5y
12%
At least 1 day up to <1y
12%
3y to <4y
11%
1y to <2y
9%
None at all
9%
2y to <3y
7%
6y to <7y
6%
5y to <6y
6%
7y to <8y
6%
8-<10y
4%
13y-<17y
4%
10y-<13y
3%
17y+

How many years in prison will she get?

This is about the exact amount of time she is sentenced to, regardless of time served. i.e. if she gets "5 months which means no additional time since she's got time served" the result will treated as 5 months

FTX Insolvency CrisisSBF SentenceCaroline Ellison
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Ellison's own legal team argues to get "time served", so this basically rules out anything less than a year.... https://hachyderm.io/@molly0xfff/113119497714977840

bought Ṁ30 None at all YES

(My bet is an arb, and does not reflect my belief.)

okay, going with her raw sentence.

I think it makes sense to focus on what is in the sentence - discounting time served means the market now combines a) predictions about how long the trial will take until sentencing and b) the actual setence.

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