Tesla FSD, RoboTaxi, CyberCab etc MegaMarket
โž•
Plus
27
แน€11k
2026
65%
Will I be able to drop my car at the entrance to a garage and have it park by mid 2026 (possibly out of sight lines)
57%
Will I will be able to get my Tesla model Y 2023 to automatically back out of my driveway to the side of the road by mid 2026
55%
I'll see an Optimus or other Tesla robot in San Mateo CA in public not at the dealership by mid 2028
50%
will I still have grok in my car, through mid 2026
50%
will I be able to use a non xAi model in the car, via same mechanism as grok, by mid 2026
35%
I'll be able to call a Waymo to my house in San Mateo by mid 2025
28%
US Customer takes delivery of Cybercab with no steering wheel by end of 2026
15%
Will someone drive across the country in FSD with no human input of any kind by mid 2026
4%
Max configurable speed for self driving will be above 85 by mid 2025
2%
I'll be able to call a fsd Tesla vehicle to my house in San Mateo by mid 2025
1.4%
Tesla robotaxi rideable in SF by the public by mid 2025

Any tests will be done:

  • With my model Y 2023

  • With fsd paid for

  • At my current slanted not easy driveway or equivalent

All of this is regarding tesla FSD

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Grok in car = Tesla already has 40million deployed portable semi-wearable AI devices. Take that, Sam and Jony Ive.

Wow, I got grok in my model Y today and it's very good. This is very surprising. I only played around with the language teacher part but it was still very awesome.

If this model was Claude or chatGPT with related memory functions, this would be even better

I got FSD13 a few days ago and it's pretty awesome & seems way more aware of what's going on, and doesn't tailgate as much when people merge in closely in front of me. Not 100% following my preference to keep more distance, but compared to FSD12, more than 50% of the remaining driving problems areas are gone now. e.g. FSD12 was about 90% perfect, and FSD13 is above 95%

@Ernie gonna need a lot more than one nine of correctness to get across the country without help ๐Ÿ˜†

@DavidFWatson bet ya

By my comment I meant that even me, a big booster, was surprised that over 50% of the remaining small base area got fixed in this update

I can regularly go very far with no critical disengagements, and let it run through many more environments now

Will someone drive across the country in FSD with no human input of any kind by mid 2026

@Ernie Based on context, this is specifically a market about Tesla's FSD?

@DavidFWatson Yes will update desc