MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will Derek Huffman be alive as of 2026-02-01?
9
αΉ€231
2026
40%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

https://www.thedailybeast.com/texan-moved-fam-to-russia-to-flee-wokenow-hes-headed-to-ukraine-front-line/

Will he survive until Feb 1st (~ 6 months)?

Determined as best we're able based on credible news reports, his or his family's social media, and other available info. No news is bad news, but market will wait 30 days after the date in case news is slow.

NewsπŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί RussiaπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Ukraine-Russia warDeath marketsFAFO
Get αΉ€1,000 play money
2 Comments
Sort by:
bought αΉ€75 NO

That didn't take long

Related questions

Will Sam Wendover "die" on 6/12/2025? (broad criteria)
20% chance
Will Daniel Larson still be alive at the end of 2026?
94% chance
Will the Minnesota Representative assassin be alive at the end of 2028?
88% chance
Will Sam Altman still be alive by EOY 2045?
69% chance
Will Diddy still be alive in 2030?
44% chance
Will Hunter Biden still be alive on December 31, 2025?
92% chance
Will Daniel Larson still be alive at the end of 2027?
75% chance
Will Jiankui He be alive at the end of 2026?
95% chance
Will basedbeffjezos still be alive in 2032
80% chance
Will Joe Biden be alive by 31 December 2026?
58% chance

Related questions

Will Sam Wendover "die" on 6/12/2025? (broad criteria)
20% chance
Will Hunter Biden still be alive on December 31, 2025?
92% chance
Will Daniel Larson still be alive at the end of 2026?
94% chance
Will Daniel Larson still be alive at the end of 2027?
75% chance
Will the Minnesota Representative assassin be alive at the end of 2028?
88% chance
Will Jiankui He be alive at the end of 2026?
95% chance
Will Sam Altman still be alive by EOY 2045?
69% chance
Will basedbeffjezos still be alive in 2032
80% chance
Will Diddy still be alive in 2030?
44% chance
Will Joe Biden be alive by 31 December 2026?
58% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout