Will Trump publicly disparage Musk within a year of the election?
➕
Plus
124
Ṁ11k
2025
47%
chance

Within a year of the election, will Trump publicly disparage Elon Musk?

This could be for any reason, provoked or otherwise. Things like belittling nicknames and personal insults would count, or "I never liked him anyway" type statements.

As this might be somewhat subjective, I won't trade.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
bought Ṁ350 YES

Think pricing at 50% extremely underappreciates both communication style and unwillingness to be second fiddle.

Specifically requesting a commitment in advance on how to judge: “I’m not saying—many people are saying—*payload here*.”

@patio11

Specifically requesting a commitment in advance on how to judge: “I’m not saying—many people are saying—*payload here*.”

Counts mostly the same as if Trump had just said it without the preamble. If by some wild turn of events he follows it with "but those people are wrong and actually [the opposite]", that gets much messier and might not count on its own, but that pattern doesn't seem like Trump's style.

bought Ṁ50 NO

Does this include things said privately, made public? That makes it a bit more likely, but right now musk is just way too popular while still being aligned.

Musk doesn't really ever stop pushing to get the things he wants. But he's still too smart to drive trump to a point where he'll be insulting him publicly.

@AGucci just things intended to be public, not leaks. "Are they fighting in public", roughly. "Mad but still publicly working together" or things like it aren't intended to count.