Will US tariffs go up in 2025 iff Trump wins? (Up if Trump wins, or down if not.)
Plus
17
แน25752026
88%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve exactly according to these two underlying markets:
/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-the-2024-election
/EvanDaniel/will-us-tariffs-be-higher-in-2025-t
This will resolve Yes if Trump wins and tariffs go up, or if Trump loses and they don't.
This will resolve No if Trump loses and tariffs go up, or if he wins and they don't.
Get แน1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
If Trump wins the election will the inflation rate in 2025 be below 2.5% (Current 2.5%)?
47% chance
If Trump wins, will undocumented immigration go down? (Southern Border)
84% chance
Will US tariffs be higher in 2025 than 2024?
89% chance
If Trump wins, what will US bond yields be at the end of 2025?
32% chance
In which states will Trump 2025 outperform Trump 2020?
If Trump wins, will the US suicide rate decrease between his inauguration and the 2026 Midterms?
46% chance
Will a PS5 cost >%10 more to US consumers as a result of tariffs before the 2026 US midterms?
45% chance
If Trump wins the 2024 election, will he enact a 10% tariff on most imported goods?
15% chance
If Donald Trump is elected US President in 2024, will the US see 3% or higher GDP growth in 2025?
58% chance