OpenAI releases SOTA LLM by end of year?
32
Ṁ1821Dec 31
6%
chance
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Resolution criteria
The market resolves YES if an OpenAI model ranks as the top-performing LLM on the Artificial Analysis leaderboard (https://artificialanalysis.ai/leaderboards/models) at any point before December 31, 2025. The model must be released or publicly available by OpenAI before the end of 2025. The market resolves NO if no OpenAI model holds the top position by the deadline. If OpenAI releases a SOTA model and then gets overtaken by another company before the end of the year, the market resolves YES.
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