When will F-16 Fighter Jets be deployed in battle in the Ukraine-Russia conflict?
46
αΉ€18k
Dec 31
0%
Q3 2023
0.2%
Q4 2023
0.5%
Q1 2024
0.2%
Q2 2024
99.1%
Q3 2024 or later

Denmark and Netherlands have donated 61 F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine. Ukrainan pilots have been receiving training by NATO countries. When will we be seeing F-16s in actual battle?

Market will be resolved when a trustworthy news agency or a credible video of F-16s flying by Ukrainians in Ukraine.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Ukraine-Russia warπŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί RussiaWorldUkraine
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@FM this should resolve to Q3 2024

Is the Reuters video (claiming Ukranians flying F-16 in Ukraine) enough to resolve (https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-finally-deploying-f-16-fighter-jets-says-zelenskiy-2024-08-04/) ?

Or does that need to be "actual battle" footage/reporting?

The latest option here is "Q3 or later". Since it's Q3 and there is no "never" option, it seems this can be resolved just because it's Q3 and this didn't resolve earlier.

bought αΉ€1,000 Q2 2024 YES

https://x.com/Euan_MacDonald/status/1807038925657006497

Russian fighter jets suddenly falling out of the sky is exactly what the appearance of F16s on the battlefield would look like

related market:
https://manifold.markets/Richard96f0/will-the-ukrainian-air-force-operat

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