Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to YES if Momodou Taal is physically removed from the United States as a result of deportation proceedings initiated by the Trump administration. The market resolves to NO if the Trump administration have been unsuccessful in deporting Taal by the end of Trump's term, if deportation proceedings are abandoned, or if a court permanently blocks his deportation.

Background

Momodou Taal is a Cornell University PhD student and dual citizen of the UK and Gambia. He has filed a lawsuit against the Trump administration, challenging two executive orders that he believes infringe upon his First and Fifth Amendment rights. The Trump administration has requested that Taal surrender himself to ICE custody, which is widely seen as an attempt to deport him for his activism, particularly his pro-Palestinian views.

Taal's legal team has filed a motion for a temporary restraining order to prevent his arrest or deportation while his lawsuit is pending. The court is reviewing this request and has directed the federal government to clarify whether the executive orders are the basis for Taal's potential deportation.

Considerations

While international students have constitutional rights, immigration laws provide broad grounds for deportation. The outcome of this case could set a precedent for the deportation of noncitizens based on political speech. The success of deportation efforts will depend on several factors, including court rulings, potential appeals, and the practical implementation of any deportation orders.

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