Will an AI have >100 million Twitter followers this decade?
18
Ṁ2323
2030
10%
chance

Tweets written by language model, aware of trends/events

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predicts NO

Why are people betting YES?

Definitely!!!

According to Wikipedia (Nov 2022), there are only six accounts with >100 million followers: Barack Obama, Elon Musk, Justin, Bieber, Katy Perry, Rihanna, and Christiano Ronaldo.
The base rate for accounts having that many followers is extremely low.

Will an AI have >100 million Twitter followers this decade?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition