Will Trump be indicted, run, and win?
37
Ṁ4286
Nov 25
45%
chance

(The 2024 election)

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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I like how this market is trading the same as will Trump win.

@JimAusman It's almost like he's been indicted and announced that he's going to run XD

@ShadowyZephyr It’s running just a tiny bit behind it. Arbitrage opportunity I guess.

the fact that this was at 7% is hilarious, I wish I joined manifold then

Related market:

How does this resolve if he is not indicted? N/A or no?

predicts NO

Pure YES/NO

predicts NO

@Gigacasting Thanks!