This market predicts whether any drone attack will target Taiwan's critical infrastructure, such as power plants or communication facilities, before December 31, 2025. Recent reports indicate increased drone activity and concerns over potential attacks. Taipei Times Resolution will be based on credible news reports confirming such an incident.
Update 2025-06-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Critical infrastructure" is defined as anything that, if destroyed, would cause major disruption to one of the following:
National security
Communication
Transportation
The economy
Utilities
For example, a drone strike on a critical water reservoir would count, but a strike on a private residence would not.
Update 2025-06-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): An attack causing major disruption to food supply chains will also be considered an attack on critical infrastructure.
@BlackCrusade anything that, if destroyed, will cause major disruption to national security, communication, transportation, the economy, or utilities.
So a drone strike on a pop star’s apartment doesn’t count, but a drone strike on a critical water reservoir does.