[SHORT FUSE] What will happen at Trump’s 12/17/25 address to the nation? (ADD RESPONSES)
45
Ṁ24k
Dec 19
98.3%
Announces new checks to Americans
3%
Announces a new executive order
1.7%
Mentions 3 or more countries
1.1%
Says “Fentanyl”
1.1%
Mentions a Republican member of the House or Senate by name
1.1%
Says “MAGA” or “Make America Great Again”
1%
Says “fake news”
1%
Mentions a Democratic member of the House or Senate by name
1%
Mentions 3 or more current Cabinet secretaries
1%
Says “antifa”
1%
Says “water”
Resolved
YES
Is wearing a red tie
Resolved
YES
Addresses healthcare

Trump is slated to give a national address at 9pm EST. Please add options and tune in for live betting.

For mentions - addressing the situation will be considered sufficient (e.g. discussing action against Maduró without saying the word Venezuela)

Words in quotes must be said in the form unless otherwise specified.

  • Update 2025-12-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the Announces personnel changes option, saying that an announcement will be made soon (e.g. "I’ll soon announce our next chairman...") does not count as announcing a personnel change.

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17 Comments
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Announces a new executive order

@Houston2025 Can someone trading yes point to the executive order they’re thinking of?

@Houston2025 I think maybe the talk about housing prices or similar?

I bought this down because I don't see anything that meets the bar.

Will review transcript and close 24 hours after that.

Except for “announces new checks,” I have no evidence for open items and will resolve them NO unless evidence is found in transcripts or provided here.

Please let me know if any were resolved erroneously before 12/18/25 at 10PM CST.

bought Ṁ40 Answer #Ug9hZZny8t YES

@Houston2025 He says "loving" here, does this count as a variant of love? https://www.youtube.com/live/3tpfScJ-Vxk?si=Go6yhA5j_3Fw7nDd&t=251

@spiderduckpig good find - resolves YES for “great and loving states”

filled a Ṁ150 Mentions 3 or more c... NO at 1.0% order

Mentions 3 or more countries
bought Ṁ20 Mentions 3 or more c... NO

@Houston2025 As far as I can tell, the only country mentioned explicitly is Iran. Gaza is also mentioned, but even if Palestine is considered a country, that would only be a part of it.

Says “MAGA” or “Make America Great Again”
bought Ṁ25 Says “MAGA” or “Make... NO

@Houston2025 He says "Making American Great Again," does that count or is it the exact wording?

@spiderduckpig given that “or variant” was not specified, “making America great again” would not be sufficient

Announces personnel changes

Is this trading based on the Fed Chair post or something else?

@spiderduckpig unclear. Saying “I’ll soon announce our next chairman of the federal reserve” would not constitute announcing a personnel change.

“You have a president who fights for the law-abiding, hardworking people of our country”

opened a Ṁ100 Says “Jew” or variant NO at 4% order

Also, I believe the $1,776 payment counts to the resolution of checks to Americans. No mention of “All Americans” or “taxpayers” in the option

opened a Ṁ200 Answer #PgE9SlRQ0g YES at 99.0% order

Waiting for a transcript to drop to close others - feel free to point me to specific quote

bought Ṁ146 Answer #0P6OpqyuCE YES

Did he say he's slashing prices by 600%

sold Ṁ6 Addresses healthcare YES

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