Will the NYT run a front-page headline questioning Trump's mental fitness before the election?
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65
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resolved Nov 6
Resolved
NO

This question resolves YES if a headline on the front page of the New York Times questions Trump's mental fitness after August 15 and before the election. This includes headlines referring to other people's questions. References to dementia, "slowing," or other indirect challenges to his mental health will also count. Mere references to his age, though, will not.

The resolution to this market is likely to be subjective. I will not bet in it.

🇺🇸 US Politics️ PoliticsTrump🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential ElectionJournalism
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bought Ṁ50 NO

I don't think they will but I would love to know what is causing things like this: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/14/trump-music-sways-town-hall/

bought Ṁ250 YES

Seems like YES to me

this paragraph (also on the front page) is most relevant

@bence These are close but only headlines count, and mere references to age are explicitly excluded.

sold Ṁ735 YES

@Hyperlincoln oh no

bought Ṁ150 NO

This is about the print newspaper, right?

Good question, yes.

bought Ṁ250 YES

That’s easy mana

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