Will AGI happen before GPT-67 is released?
7
Ṁ3972099
90%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes iff it is established by consensus (say other manifold markets) that AGI happens before the release of a model called GPT-67 by OpenAI.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2026?
3% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
14% chance
Will we get AGI before 2044?
81% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
1% chance
Will we get AGI before 2048?
88% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2026?
4% chance
Will GPT-6 be considered to be AGI?
15% chance
Will we get AGI before 2047?
87% chance
Will we get AGI before 2046?
85% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
7% chance