Will CGP Grey make a video that references prediction markets before the end of 2024?
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resolved Jan 2
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NO

https://www.youtube.com/@CGPGrey/videos

Resolves YES if any CGP Grey video includes a reference to prediction markets, a specific prediction market, or something related to prediction markets, even if it's just an easter egg or offhand comment.

See also /IsaacKing/will-cgp-grey-make-a-video-about-pr

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Only one video in 2024 about referendum on a flag
Then Flags, more flags, notepad advert, rock paper scissors *2, chess with hexagons, flags, youtube comments, flags.
I don't see it
@IsaacKing Resolve?

He’s known to include small Easter egg like references. Would those count as yes?

Examples:

  • manifold app logo on iPhone homescreen

  • Graph with “yes”, “no”, “%” buttons beneath it on a computer screen in the background

predicted YES

@Gerben Good question!

I don't have a strong intuition on what would better match the spirit of the question. Do other traders have an opinion on this?

predicted YES

Ok, this one will include easter eggs. I've made another market for the other interpretation.

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