Will Daniel Litt win his $25,000 bet that David Budden will not solve the Hodge conjecture?
90
Ṁ40k
2026
97%
chance

https://x.com/davidmbudden/status/2002213723046281725

Resolves N/A if the bet is called off, unless it was due to Daniel's psychosis clause. That'll still resolve this to YES, since Daniel won and was being magnanimous.

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Definitely seems to be coherently saying that he's not experiencing AI psychosis 🤷

Looks a hell of a lot like an episode of mania from a distance though 😶

Now I'm starting to get concerned that we're heading towards a situation where whenever someone gets excited about something it's going to make people around them suspicious that it's the AI 😂


he posted some paper related to Hodge but not the one the bet is about

https://github.com/BuddenD/hodge-x33/blob/main/hodge-x33-draft.pdf

Is this david stupid?

@121 IQ is not protective against LLM psychosis

Another order at 67% here!

@bens 67 🥀

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