Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting at the end of 2024?
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44
Ṁ9652
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
YES

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Manifold makes metaculus obsolete imo

@JonathanRay Personally, I like both platforms and there are still several things that Metaculus does better, which Manifold could potentially try to subsume but they're pretty hard!

@JonathanRay Sounds like a good reason to bet on NO!

@JonathanRay Even if it does, websites are sticky and usually slow to die (server costs aren't much if you just stop putting active new development work in)

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