Will the world mostly converge on a single date format before 31/29/30?
22
Ṁ5252050
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Date_format_by_country
This market closes on the date specified in the title. (With months counting upwards into future years.) If the majority of traders agree on when to expect that to happen, this market resolves YES. Otherwise it resolves NO.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Doomsday Clock advance toward midnight in/by January 2025?
80% chance
Will the number of time zones on Earth change by 2030?
44% chance
In the year 4000 CE, what will be the starting date for the most commonly used calendar?
Will Manifold support additional display formats (e.g. dates or durations) for numeric markets before the end of 2024?
46% chance
[Metaculus] Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?
56% chance
When will Manifold implement question format for predicting dates?
Will Manifold natively support the new numeric markets for dates before EOY 2024?
56% chance
Will the US change to permanent Standard Time before 2030?
25% chance
Will leap seconds still exist on 31 December 2050?
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 30 seconds to midnight by 2029?
47% chance