Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the date on which the New York City Board of Elections officially announces the winner of the 2025 Democratic mayoral primary. The announcement date will be determined based on official communications from the Board of Elections, accessible at NYC Board of Elections.

Background

The 2025 New York City Democratic mayoral primary is scheduled for June 24, 2025. (vote.nyc) New York City utilizes a ranked-choice voting system, allowing voters to rank up to five candidates in order of preference. If no candidate secures more than 50% of first-choice votes, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated, and votes are redistributed based on subsequent preferences. This process continues until a candidate achieves a majority. (apnews.com)

Considerations

Due to the ranked-choice voting system and the inclusion of mail-in ballots, the final tabulation and certification of results may extend beyond the initial election date. Official ranked-choice voting analysis is set to commence on July 1, 2025, with final certification expected by July 15, 2025. (apnews.com) Therefore, the official announcement of the primary winner may not occur immediately after the election and could be delayed until mid-July.

• Update 2025-06-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified that either of the following events will be sufficient for resolution:

  • The date the election results are officially certified.

  • The date the Board of Elections posts a communication with a clear winner, which may occur before certification.